
***As if you could handle any more Creighton related material, here is an interview I did with the White and Blue Review regarding this weekend's game.***
The thought has occurred to me, does this game already feel like it's a must win? With nationally ranked Georgia Tech lurking in the shadows of San Juan, a loss on Saturday afternoon ensures that the specter of a 0-2 start is a more than viable possibility for the U of D. There is so much hype attached to this edition of the basketball Flyers, whether it is deserved is surely a discussion that will be rendered moot in just a few weeks, that I'm not sure the diehards could handle a season opening loss to Creighton. That being said, there are those among us who would get some perverse joy out of a Dayton implosion on Saturday, and I’m not talking about UD’s usual malefactors. This is homegrown, inner-circle schadenfreude. The thought of some poor slob, returning to his disheveled abode after a Flyer loss, would give the uncouth among us some undeserved pleasure. There are those that would love to peer in from a window and watch as he drops his keys on the kitchen table and drops his head in disappointment.
Social comparison theory, specifically “downward” social comparison, is based on the notion that our self-worth is often measured in comparison to others, be it consciously or subconsciously. We appraise ourselves against those who are less fortunate for the sole purpose of superficially feeling better about our own social status, however temporary that sense of superiority may be. I say avoid this temptation. No matter how strong your emotions are tied to the success of this program, the fact remains that the season we have in front of us is easily the most crucial many of us have ever seen. I won’t go as far as to say that the Dayton basketball program is on the cusp of the Promised Land, Cole Aldrich and company certainly put that claim to rest last March, but we are on the path to a new frontier. UD needs to string together multiple trips to the tournament before we reach the pantheon of mid-major powers. But you can feel it, we are getting close.
If UD beats Creighton, this guy is gonna be A-OKThe coming months will likely redefine the course of the Dayton basketball program. Please, for the love of Beelzebub, let’s resist the urge to make this season any bigger than that. Storylines like these are disingenuous and primarily utilized to create intrigue out of thin air. Politicians, prostitutes and Bruce Springsteen have exploited desperate economic conditions for personal gain for decades; to let those type of misguided emotions spill over into college basketball seems completely asinine.
There wasn’t a more desperate theme from last year’s college basketball season than the connection many writers tried to make between the economic turmoil in Detroit and how the success of Michigan State would emotionally prop the city up. For those of you scoring at home, East Lansing is roughly 100 miles from Detroit, hardly any of the people feeling the pinch were Spartan alums (let alone college grads), and most importantly, it's just a fucking basketball game. The majority of money made from Michigan State's run last April went into the pockets of corporations and the Columbia Broadcasting System, not into the coffers of Mr. and Mrs. Joseph Sixpack. But hey, at least MSU is a state school.
Although the school’s name tends to mislead people, Dayton is a private university with a sticker price of approximately $40,000 a year (fill in your “worst buy in education” joke here). Seventy-five percent of the undergrads live on campus and rarely travel off campus to entertain themselves. Additionally, the school has always had a checkered history with the city of Dayton and its residents. The overwhelming majority of students have nothing in common culturally, socially or economically with the city. Dayton's success is not going to bring NCR back, it's not going to increase property values, and it's not going to increase employment opportunities.
Besides, if the success of a college basketball team serves as a diversion for some of the problems in your life--your problems are simply not serious enough. Missing a mortgage payment should never be tucked into the back of your mind because Chris Johnson got a double-double against Lehigh (although that does give you carte blanche to fuck some beers up). You know who has the most to gain from a successful campaign this season? Current students and alumni who fork over an outrageous amount of money to attend the University of Dayton. My real hope is that Dayton's ascendance in the basketball world means I don't have to explain to people where I attended undergrad anymore. If I can tell someone that I went to the U of D and they don't respond by making a face like I just shit my pants, that's the sign that the program is finally making some inroads.
Now that we have put that issue to rest, let's break down these pesky Creighton Bluejays.
A Middle-American dichotomy only Sufjan Stevens could appreciate. Creighton has exactly what I want in a one-dimensional perimeter shooter in Kaleb Korver, the Bluejays’ version of Luke Fabulous. Korver embodies what I physically desire: he looks corn-fed, comfortable in his own skin, like he comes from a decent home—albeit one with a carport. Luke Fab comes from the suburbs of Chicago, but could easily pass for a Dayton Hill Jack. His scrawny frame and gaunt features scream latchkey kid and government lunch vouchers. Check out these stat lines and tell me who comes off as a man of refinement, a man of patience:
|
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MPG
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PPG
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FG%
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FGA
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3FG%
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3FGA
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FT%
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APG
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RPG
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BPG
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SPG
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Korver
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15.1
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3.7
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42.7
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96
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44.8
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87
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70.0
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0.8
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2.2
|
.09
|
.5
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Luke Fab
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8.9
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4.3
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36.9
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122
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37.5
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104
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60.0
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0.3
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1.1
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.2
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.1
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Let’s not forget that Korver hurt Dayton from behind the arc last year. He had four three-pointers and helped stretch the floor for guys like Woodfox and Stinnet. Korver, who has been trying to expand his game this offseason, will likely get the starting nod against UD at the small forward. The house will come down everytime Korver and Luke Fab are on the court together. I expect that they will go so hard at each other that they will probably end up docking at some point.
There will never be another, he was my brother. Let me give you some reassuring news: Booker Woodfox has left the building. Last season’s Missouri Valley Conference Player of the Year gave the Flyers more than they could handle, dropping 21 points in the win. With Booker’s graduation, Creighton is in search of a go-to scorer. To say that I was dismayed at the possibility of Booker playing with the Fort Wayne Mad Ants is an understatement of epic proportions. But wait, it gets worse.
The Ants' other picks were Tolbert, who averaged 13.4 points per game two years ago at Auburn; Cornley, who averaged 14.4 points per game last season at Penn State; Woodfox, who shot 47.6 percent from three-point range and won the Larry Bird Missouri Valley Conference Player of the Year award; Lenny Stokes, who played for Meyer a few years back in Tulsa; C.J. Anderson, a swingman from Xavier; Andres Sandoval, a guard from Dayton; and A.J. Ratliff from Indiana.
Yeah, that's Andres Sandoval's name you saw in there. Consider me dumbstruck.
Quick sidebar. That opening line in bold comes from a Pete Rock and C.L. Smooth song entitled, “They Reminisce Over You (T.R.O.Y)” The song itself discusses the problems associated with being born to a teenage mother and losing people in your life under tragic circumstances. So, as a young child attending an all-white private school in the ‘burbs, it was easily relatable material that deeply resonated with me. During this period, musical tastes broke down into two camps: metal or rap--this is before the term hip-hop was in vogue, an all encompassing term indicating that rap wasn’t merely a musical genre, but a “culture.”
Here is where the importance of grunge music came into play. Whether you listened to N.W.A or Cinderella, you were fully aware that the music you were listening to was fucking ridiculous. You can argue the merits of grunge music all you want, but what you can’t deny was that it offered a viable genre of music that didn’t make you self-conscious about liking it. People always seemed concerned what listening to rap or metal said about them. With grunge, no one knew what to make of the music and moreover, no one knew what to make of the people who listened to it. It was new, nondescript, and that’s why people gravitated towards it. Which means…
Dayton basketball is grunge revisited. If mid-major basketball is like the grunge movement, surely we can agree that the BCS conferences are pop/top 40, then Dayton becomes Nirvana (Butler gets the nod as the more readily accessible Pearl Jam, and as the first team to commercially breakthrough, Gonzaga is Soundgarden). Depending on your point of view, Chris Wright is Kurt Cobain (overrated), Dave Grohl (underrated) or Krist Novoselic (completely fucking irrelevant). Success this season means that Dayton can move closer to being a more mainstream commodity (more airplay, playing bigger venues, etc.) and that someone will eventually blow their head off with a shotgun.
Anyway, just like music critics had a problem initially defining what grunge music was, pollsters don’t know what to make of Dayton. They have become the team everyone seems to respect and like, but can't quite put their finger on why. Indulge my meandering. I came across this passage in Four Arguments for the Elimination of Television (don’t bother, wait for it to come out on laserdisc) and for some reason preseason college basketball polls popped into my head.
“TV takes away our freedom to have whatever thoughts we want. So do photographs, movies, and the Internet. They provide us with more intellectual stimuli, but they construct a lower, harder intellectual ceiling. The first time someone tries to convince you to take mushrooms, they often argue that mushrooms ‘allow you to think whatever thoughts you want.’ This sentiment makes no sense to anyone who has not taken psychedelic drugs, because everyone likes to assume we already have the freedom to think whatever we please. But this is not true. Certain drug experiences do expand a person’s freedom of thought, in the same way that certain media experiences make that freedom smaller.”
I’m not saying that pollsters should drop acid before filling out their preseason polls, although this would arguably lead to a more diverse top 25 and a more lifelike Jay Bilas, but the overall sentiment remains the same. There are literally enough tomes written on the subject of how increases in media exposure result in a decrease of independent thought and creativity to fill a library. However, that’s not the point. The daily barrage of Internet commentary, preseason magazines, blogs, and message boards only lead to an entirely too broad and lazy analysis by the pollsters. Preseason polls are the ultimate groupthink. To put it plainly, the increase in easily accessible information has actually made your average college basketball pollster less informed.
Take our beloved Flyers for instance. I can almost guarantee that the majority of people who placed UD in the top 25 have never seen Chris Wright play in person, have no clue that Rob Lowery is out for the entire non-conference schedule, or how tenuous UD’s hold on a tournament bid was last season. What they do know is that other "experts" have UD ranked in their poll. So, rather than do any due diligence, voters simply stand on the shoulder of polling giants. However, like grunge music, the polls eventually become irrelevant. The season begins to play out and the cream eventually rises to the top. With a body of work to refer to, the selection committee has something concrete to rely on.
I know Booker Woofox, you're no...
People get caught up in picking apart the rankings when they first come out, as if they have the intuitiveness others lack. Just remember, college basketball, like music or any other form of entertainment, is just a product. It is packaged to look like student-athletes battling it out for the pride of their schools, but really it's just a medium used to sell cell phones and car insurance. I'm okay with that, I don't pretend that college basketball is anything more than minor-league basketball. There is a concerted effort to get the bigger names on television because that's what the public has been programmed to believe is the best product out there. Kentucky's game against Morehead State will be on national television tonight. Dayton's game against Creighton will be broadcast over an Internet connection. Is that fair? From an economic point of view, abso-fucking-lutely.
The U2s of the world (Kentucky, Kansas, Duke, etc.) will always play to bigger audiences, get more media exposure, and have their pick of the finest groupies. Schools like Dayton and Creighton have to grind it out in dirty clubs, hoping to catch a big break along the way. I say it's more fun to follow the indie band. It's more personal, there is more feeling behind your fandom, and once they become mainstream we can complain about how they sold out (Chris Wright going pro).
Phonetically Phucked. P’Allen Stinnett is likely to take over for Woodfox as the Bluejays’ primary option on offense this year. There is often a learning curve associated with taking on such a role, hopefully this is something that takes, oh…I don’t know, more than one game for Stinnett to catch on. To be fair, Stinnett has looked decent in the preseason, averaging 16 points over the two game stretch. If Stinnett can score around 20 points, the Bluejays have a shot. If not, I don't see how Creighton scores enough to beat UD on its own floor. Looking at some of Stinnett's performances, it seems like he is very inconsistent. He is either hot or cold, no in betweens. It's hard to imagine a streaky shooter enjoying success against Dayton's defense.
Brian Gregory, you cunning bastard. Let’s give Brian Gregory credit for holding Chris Wright and Marcus Johnson out of the first exhibition against Ferris State and for giving them light loads in the Northern Kentucky game. Although the initial cover-up was moronic and insulting to our intelligence, both are healthy and raring to go on Saturday.
The same cannot be said for Creighton’s Keith Carter, a key cog in the Bluejays frontcourt who will surely be missed on both sides of the ball. Carter, a senior forward, went down in the second half of Creighton’s exhibition Sunday night and is likely out of commission for 2-4 weeks. JUCO transfer Wayne Runnels will likely take Carter’s place in the starting lineup. Creighton fans seem to be very high on Runnels and think he has plenty of upside. Actually, I don't know if that's true, but that's the type of things people say when they really don't know what to expect from someone.
Adding to Creighton’s injury woes are the possibility that forwards Casey Harriman and Chad Millard might be held out of the contest as well:
“Harriman has been ill, possibly with the H1N1 flu, since last Thursday. He played in Creighton’s first exhibition game against Missouri Western on Nov. 4 but has not practiced since. He also missed Sunday’s exhibition game against UNO.
Creighton coach Dana Altman said before Wednesday’s practice that Harriman probably won’t play. "It’s been a week now,’’ Altman said.
Harriman’s absence would compound Creighton’s front-line problems as the Bluejays will be without 6-4 Justin Carter, sidelined two to four weeks with a knee injury, and 6-8 Chad Millard, who aggravated a foot injury last week. Millard hurt his foot in early October and has not participated in a full preseason practice.
Even at full strength, Creighton would have had difficulty matching up with a Dayton team that has seven players on its roster 6-8 or taller. The injuries and illness will force the Bluejays to rely on inexperienced players to try to stop 6-8 Dayton star Chris Wright, who is considered one of the top players in the country.”
At this point, the Creighton frontcourt has more holes in it than a wall between stalls at a gay bar. At full strength, I think the Jays would have a legitimate chance in this one. As it is, with such a depleted roster, it's hard to tell who would have the job of guarding Chris Wright. With Carter out of the lineup, Kountry Chris will enjoy an advantage no matter who guards him.
Cavel Witter is sure to play major minutes in this one. Witter's off-season troubles are well documented. Whether or not he was asked to leave the program of if he wanted to leave on his own accord, Witter appears to be slowly winning his place back on the team. Witter had a very productive sophomore year and saw his production slip a bit last season. He will probably play both guard positions on Saturday, more time at the point if Antoine Young can't go.
Bitterness in focus. As co-champs of the MVC last season (14-4 in conference, 27-8 overall), Creighton was likely one of the last teams left out of the field of sixty-five in 2009—only the fourth time the Jays failed to make the big boy tournament since 1998. How do you think it felt to be a Bluejay fan on Selection Sunday, listening eagerly to the soothing cooing of Greg Gumbel as he announced Dayton as the #11 seed in the Midwest bracket while your squad is left out in the cold? Yeah, you know, the team you dismantled by 18 points last season? They’re in, you’re out. Here’s your hat, what’s your hurry?
For Lawson, one is the loneliest numberThe Loneliest Bluejay. With Carter’s injury, Kenny Lawson Jr. becomes the big swinging dick for Creighton down low. As the Bluejays’ only inside threat on offense, Lawson is capable of a 15-10 night if the Flyers sleep on him. Lawson was named to the MVC All-Defensive team last season, averaging a league-leading 1.6 blocks per game. The one thing slowing Lawson's development is the fact that he is foul prone. Nevertheless, if anyone is going to slow down Dayton's abiliity to drive to the basket, it's going to be Lawson.
Fresh meat. Antoine Young takes the point guard reigns for the Bluejays this season. His matchup with London Warren could very well be the difference in the game. How Young handles Warren’s pressure will be one of the deciding factors on Saturday. A.Y. has looked very good in the preseason, dishing out 13 dimes without a turnover in two exhibitions.
However, as luck would have it, Young is a bit banged up as well. He injured his knee during practice on Wednesday and was held out of a walk-through on Thursday. If Young can't go on Saturday, Cavel Witter will take his place at the point. If Young doesn't suit up, Creighton will be down to four players with significant playing experience. You don't bring a knife to a gun fight, and it seems like the Bluejays are packing Bowies for their trip to Dayton.
Prediction: Rebounding will be a key component, as the Bluejays struggle to keep opponents off the glass—although the Jays did out rebound UD in last year’s game. Expect to see both man-to-man and zone from the Bluejays, as a zone puts pressure on Dayton to score from the perimeter and offers an opportunity for CU’s players to stay as fresh as possible with a lineup already decimated by injuries. Don’t think Creighton will press too much with Carter a scratch, but if they do it will more than likely come when London Warren is on the bench.
This game feels like two teams with completely different identities. Creighton’s body is changing and she is just getting used to all the new feelings she is having. She is still trying to figure out who she is and where she is going. Dayton? She had her period at eight years old and lost her virginity on the back of a moving motorcycle when she was eleven. Dayton’s been around the block a few times and knows what she is all about. This gives UD a clear advantage.
Dayton has a knack for winning games it absolutely has to. This one will be no different. The thought of UD going to San Juan 0-1 keeps Brian Gregory up at night. Dayton wins this one by around 8 points. The Flyers have too much depth and the home-court advantage cannot be underscored. Chris Wright has a decent opener, scoring 15 and grabbing 7 boards. MJ, Paul Willie and CJ take turns physically assaulting Stinnett, holding Creighton's best player to 11 points. Brad McEldowney laughs from the stands, realizing he is in a much better place.